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February 12, 2007

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~c.

I can't believe you believe this.

Gerry Charlotte Phelps

Thanks for commenting.

I would just say that it's not anyone's beliefs that matter in this case. The evidence is what matters. And the scientific evidence is mixed, rather than all going in one direction.

The evidence seems to be that the earth has been warming for about 150 years. What is not at all certain is that the human race had anything to do with that.

More time is needed to work that out before we take drastic measures. Those measures are so expensive that the world economy could take a big turn downward.

When the U.S. economy turns down, the world economy turns down even more. The huge U.S. economy is the 'driver' behind the prosperity of much of the rest of the world.

When the world economy takes a downturn, the poor suffer first, and the most. Most especially in the poorer countries. Their suffering would be far greater than any gains we might get from taking such drastic, expensive measures. So we need to really be sure we get this right.

Besides, warming periods have been kinder to the human race than colder ones. They are not to be feared. We have been through them before and know pretty much what to expect. We only have to look at the last warming period, 1000-1300, which was much better than the 500 cold years that followed from 1300-1850.

Some scientists who watch sunspots are concerned, however, that this warming cycle is almost over and a colder period is not far away. That would be a much bigger problem.

We need a longer, more open debate on this question. Closing our minds on it too soon, before a better look at the evidence, is not what we need. And we do not need to start huge, drastic programs until we know more about the facts.

Thanks for taking time to comment.
Gerry

Richard Schulman

Excellent summary of the relevant science! May I also recommend the excellent BBC video at http://tinyurl.com/34jq4x

ms hat

I apreciate that you have done this research but I've been researching Global warming for some time now and have looked at alot of evidence from different sources for different sources. In my opinion, and in many other leading climateologist's Global Warming is being caused by an increase in Green house gasses caused mostly by Humans.

I'm afraid to say that you are simply in denial. I know it's scary and overwhelming but you need to face up to it. We can stop climate change we just have to act now and act fast!

Ms Hat

I just realised that when I posted that comment it gave the impression that I am a leading climateologist, I am not. However many leading climateologist do believe the views I expressed in my previous message. sorry for any inconvenience. Ms Hat

Gerry Charlotte Phelps

Thanks for commenting Ms. Hat.

The problem is that while many climatologists accept your views, many do not - including some of the best. With such division, rushing ahead is not indicated.

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